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: 120
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: 2026
: .., .., .. . // . - 2026. - . 120. - .331-368.
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(.): aviation transport system, management of transport systems, system dynamics, simulation modeling
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(.): The article presents the formulation and methodology for solving the problem of managing an aviation transport system according to the criterion of functional safety. We developed a new mathematical model of system dynamics that makes it possible to predict changes in the main safety characteristics over a given time interval. We also proposed a method for verifying the correctness of the model used in predicting the number of aviation disasters per year; the discrepancy functions demonstrate differences between experimental and calculated values of the safety characteristics of the aviation transport system. We presented the procedure for solving the problem of aviation transport system management, which makes it possible to select an optimal plan of organizational and technical measures that minimize the objective function of the problem being solved. Created software allows for the support of management solutions in the management of the aviation transport system according to the criterion of operational safety. We formed an information-logical scheme that characterizes the development in time and space of the aviation transport system management process. A model example confirms the possibility of using the created mathematical software in existing control systems. We proposed a methodology for implementing the developed software as well as the structure of a typical complex of technical means used in the management of an aviation transport system according to the criterion of operational safety is determined.
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