**:** . .,

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**:**
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**:** 2014
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** :**
**:** 47
**:** . ., . ., . . / . 47. .: , 2014. .77-91.

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** :** , , , ,

** (.):** game theory, passenger traffic, transport system, natural experiment, equilibrium.

**:** . , , . . .

** (.):** The work is devoted to analysis of statistical model of passengers flow between the bus stops. It is assumed that the number of incoming and outcoming passengers are known. We propose a model of estimation of distribution function for incoming passengers among future bus stops. The computer simulations are presented based on empirical experiments.

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