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: 57
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: 2015
: . ., . ., . ., : / . 57. .: , 2015. .138157.
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(.): Markov chain, random intensity, heterogeneity, gamma distribution, radiation risk
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(.): We suggest a methodology to estimate morbidity parameters in a threestate model, which includes the heterogeneity factor modeled with a gammadistributed random variable. Models with complete and incomplete information are considered and various methods of risk estimation are discussed. We give estimates of morbidity radiation risks in four classes of diseases based on data from the Russian National Radiation Epidemiological Registry. The methodology can be used during the development of radiation protection systems.
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: 1822, : 740, : 15.

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