:   . ., . ., . ., . ., . .
:   :
. :  0421000023\0047
:  30.1
:  
:  2010
:   . ., . ., . ., . ., . . : / . 30.1 " ". .: , 2010. .154-186.
:   , , , ,
(.):  scenario-based research, complex system, group management, regional management system, the Amur region of Russian Federation
:   : , , , . . - .
(.):  Main components of scenario-based research methodology are described: the scenario system, the system of scenario analysis, the system of scenario synthesis, basics of scenario calculus. Verbal and formal definitions of a scenario and of its formation stages are given. Application is considered of complex systems scenario-based research methodology to the analysis of effectiveness of group management in the socio-economic system of the Amur region of Russian Federation.

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