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Bayesian Learning of Consumer Preferences for Residential Demand Response: ( ): Elsevier Ltd. : 2016 : : IFAC-PapersOnLine, Cyber-Physical & Human-Systems CPHS 2016 () : V. 49, No 32 : Goubko M. V., Kuznetsov S. O., Neznanov A. A., Ignatov D. I. Bayesian Learning of Consumer Preferences for Residential Demand Response / IFAC-PapersOnLine, 2016, V. 49, No 32. Cyber-Physical & Human-Systems CPHS 2016 Conference, P. 24-29. : In coming years residential consumers will face real-time electricity tariffs with energy prices varying day to day, and effective energy saving will require automation - a recommender system, which learns consumer's preferences from her actions. A consumer chooses a scenario of home appliance use to balance her comfort level and the energy bill. We propose a Bayesian learning algorithm to estimate the comfort level function from the history of appliance use. In numeric experiments with datasets generated from a simulation model of a consumer interacting with small home appliances the algorithm outperforms popular regression analysis tools. Our approach can be extended to control an air heating and conditioning system, which is responsible for up to half of a household's energy bill. : () : 3397, : 21675 |
A novel model to predict infinite dilution solubility coefficients in glassy polymers: ( ): Wiley : 2017 : .. : Journal of Polymer Science Part B: Polymer Physics () : V. 55, No 3 : Goubko M., Miloserdov O., Yampolskii Yu., Alentiev A., Ryzhikh V. A novel model to predict infinite dilution solubility coefficients in glassy polymers // Journal of Polymer Science Part B: Polymer Physics. 2016. V. 55, No 3. P. 228-244. : Infinite dilution gas solubility coefficients in glassy polymers of diverse chemical structure are predicted on the basis of a simple computational model of short polymer chain conformations. In contrast to existing models that describe the infinite dilution solubility coefficient S of various gases in certain polymers or S for the particular gas in different polymers, our approach allows to deal with the broad variety of gases and glassy polymers of different structure. With the van der Waals volume, accessible surface area, and some derivative geometrical descriptors being the predicting variables, the multivariate linear regression on the testing set gives correlation 0.89 with the logarithm of the solubility coefficient for the considered classes of relatively low-permeable polymers (the mean relative error of solubility coefficient S prediction is 68%). Regression accuracy can be improved up to correlation 0.95 and the mean relative error 39% when a separate regression is constructed for each penetrant gas. Implications are discussed to the analysis of solubility selectivity. : (1002/polb) : () : 3736, : 17722 |
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Mob Control: Models of Threshold Collective Behavior: ( ): Springer : 2017 : : Breer V.V., Novikov D.A., Rogatkin A.D. Mob Control: Models of Threshold Collective Behavior. Series: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control. Heidelberg: Springer, 2017. 134 p. : The book is dedicated to mathematical models of mob control with thresh-old (conformity) collective decision-making of the agents. Based on the analysis results of the interconnection between the micro- and macromodels of active network structures, the static (deterministic, stochastic and game-theoretic) and dynamic (discrete- and continuous-time) models of mob control are considered. Much attention is given to models of informational confrontation. Many results are applicable not only to mob control problems, but also to control problems arising in social groups, online social networks, etc. The book is intended to the researchers and practitioners, as well as the undergraduate and postgraduate students, doctoral candidates specializing in the field of collective behavior modeling. : (pdf) : 3869, : 6206 |
Control Mechanisms for Organizational- technical Systems: Problems of Integration and Decomposition: ( ): IFAC : 2016 : : 1st IFAC Conference on CyberPhysical & Human-Systems () : IFAC-Papers-Online. 2016. Vol. 49. No 32. P. 1 6. : Burkov V., Korgin N., Novikov D. Control Mechanisms for Organizational- technical Systems: Problems of Integration and Decomposition / Proceedings of the 1st IFAC Conference on CyberPhysical & Human-Systems, Florianopolis, Brazil, December 7-9. IFAC-Papers-Online. 2016. Vol. 49. No 32. P. 1 6. : This paper discusses theoretical problems connected with analysis of integrated control mechanisms for the organizational- technical systems (OTS). The existing classification of these systems is extended using transition from separate control mechanisms to integrated ones. A detailed consideration is given to a key problem, i.e., efficiency assessment for an integrated mechanism and its decomposition into assessments for separate elementary mechanisms. : (pdf) : 2812, : 1864 |
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Improved spectral clustering for multi-objective controlled islanding of power grid: ( ): Springer Berlin Heidelberg : 2019 : .. : Energy Systems () : V. 10, No 1 : (with V. Ginz) Improved spectral clustering for multi-objective controlled islanding of power grid // Energy Systems, 2019, V. 10, No 1. P. 59-94 (first online May 2017). doi:10.1007/s12667-017-0240-1 : We propose a two-step algorithm for optimal controlled islanding that partitions a power grid into islands of limited volume while optimizing several criteria: maximizing generator coherency inside islands, minimizing power flow disruption due to teared lines, and minimizing load shedding. Several spectral clusterings strategies are used in the first step to lower the problem dimension (taking into account coherency and disruption only), and CPLEX tools for the mixed-integer quadratic problem are employed in the second step to choose a balanced partition of the aggregated grid that minimizes a combination of coherency, disruption and load shedding. A greedy heuristics efficiently limits search space by generating the starting solution for the exact algorithm. Dimension of the second-step problem depends only on the desired number of islands K instead of the dimension of the original grid. The algorithm is tested on the standard systems with 118, 2383, and 9241 nodes showing high quality of partitions and competitive computation time. Keywords: Emergency control scheme Optimal partitioning of power grid Slow coherency Power flow disruption Load shedding : (1007/s12667-017-0240-1) : () : 3165, : 2593 |
Maximizing Wiener index for trees with given vertex weight and degree sequences: : 2018 : .. : Applied Mathematics and Computation () : 316 : Goubko M. Maximizing Wiener index for trees with given vertex weight and degree sequences // Applied Mathematics and Computation, 2018, Vol. 316, P. 102114. : The Wiener index is maximized over the set of trees with the given vertex weight and degree sequences. This model covers the traditional unweighed Wiener index, the terminal Wiener index, and the vertex distance index. It is shown that there exists an optimal caterpillar. If weights of internal vertices increase in their degrees, then an optimal caterpillar exists with weights of internal vertices on its backbone monotonously increasing from some central point to the ends of the backbone, and the same is true for pendent vertices. A tight upper bound of the Wiener index value is proposed and an efficient greedy heuristics is developed that approximates well the optimal index value. Finally, a branch and bound algorithm is built and tested for the exact solution of this NP-complete problem. : (1016/j) : 2919, : 2609 |
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: ( ): : 2018 : : . ., . . . : , 2018 : , ( ) . , , - . , , , , , , . , , : , , . -, , (, .) - . : 3863, : 1344 |
-: : 2018 : .. : () : 5 : .. - // . 2018. 5. . 107 118. : ( ) - . , , -, ; -, ( ); -, , . : (pdf) : 2405, : 526 |
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: , ,: . . / . . : ( ): : 2016 : : .., .., .., .. : , , - -.: , 2016. - 216 . : (). . , , , . , , ( ), ( ), ( - 2018 .) ( - ), ( ) ( ). . : 1948, : 0 |
Games for Cautious Players: The Equilibrium in Secure Strategies: . . / . . : : 2016 : .. : Games and Economic Behavior () : 110 : Iskakov M., Iskakov A., dAspremont C. Games for Cautious Players: The Equilibrium in Secure Strategies // Games and Economic Behavior, Vol. 110. 2018. P. 58-70 : We analyze the BertrandEdgeworth duopoly model using a solution concept of Equilibrium in Secure Strategies (EinSS), which provides a model of cautious behavior in non-cooperative games. It is suitable for studying games, in which threats of other players are an important factor in the decision-making. We show that in some cases when NashCournot equilibrium does not exist in the price duopoly of BertrandEdgeworth there is a unique EinSS, in which both players choose the same equilibrium price lower than the monopoly price. The difference between these prices can be interpreted as an additional reduction in price, which allows players to secure themselves against mutual threats of undercutting. We formulate and prove a criterion for the EinSS existence. : : 1623, : 0 |
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: : 2019 : .. : () : 77 : .., .. // . 2019. 77. . 171 218. : - , . / , . / (), , . , , . . - . . . , -, , , , . : : / / : (pdf) : 1867, : 417 |
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: : 2019 : .. : () : 78 : .., .. // . 2019. 78. . 174 - 220. : . . . , , / , / . . . . , . . : / / : (pdf) : 1869, : 432 |
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( ): ( ): URSS : 2019 : : ( ): / . . . . .: , 2019. 552 . : , : ( , , ); ( ; , ) ; , ; ( , , ); , , , . ( 27.04.00 27.06.01 ), , . - . : 1524, : 1443 |
Feedback systems: an introduction for scientists and engineers: ( ): Princeton University Press : 2010 : : Aström K. J., Murray R. M. Feedback systems: an introduction for scientists and engineers. Princeton: Princeton university press, 2010. - 408 p. : This book provides an introduction to the basic principles and tools for the design and analysis of feedback systems. It is intended to serve a diverse audience of scientists and engineers who are interested in understanding and utilizing feedback in physical, biological, information and social systems. We have attempted to keep the mathematical prerequisites to a minimum while being careful not to sacrifice rigor in the process. We have also attempted to make use of examples from a variety of disciplines, illustrating the generality of many of the tools while at the same time showing how they can be applied in specific application domains. : : 1785, : 230 |
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: ( ): : 2019 : : : / . .. . - --: , 2019. - 330 . : , - . . , -, , , : , , . , , , - . . , , " ", " ", " ", "", "", " ", " ". : (pdf) : 1862, : 357 |
Control theory of systems governed by partial differential equations( ): Academic Press : 1977 : Aziz A. K., Wingate J. W., Balas M. J. (ed.). Control theory of systems governed by partial differential equations. Academic Press, 1977. : 1671, : 215 |
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